Checking the Overall Picture for Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL)

Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL) is an interesting player in the Basic Materials space, with a focus on Independent Oil & Gas. The stock has been active on the tape, currently trading at $3.22, down from yesterday’s close by -0.62%. Given the stock’s recent action, it seemed like a good time to take a closer look at the company’s recent data.

Fundamental Analysis

Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL) currently trades with a market capitalization of $640.04 Million. That value represents a market adjusting for revenues that have been growing by 11.47 % on a quarterly year/year basis as of the company’s last quarterly report.

You can get a sense of how sustainable that is by a levered free cash flow of -$495.46 Million over the past twelve months. Generally speaking, earnings are expected to hold steady in coming quarters. Analysts are forecasting earnings of $0.25 on a per share basis this quarter. Perhaps, that suggests something about why 2.99% of the outstanding share supply is held by institutional investors.

Technical Analysis

Sometimes, we can understand most about a stock by simply looking at how it has been trading. Looking at the stock’s movement on the chart, Ultra Petroleum Corp. recorded a 52-week high of $12.39. It is now trading 9.17% off that level. The stock is trading $4.28 its 50-day moving average by 1.06%. The stock carved out a 52-week low down at $3.04.

In recent action, Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL) has made a move of -31.49% over the past month, which has come on Strong relative transaction volume. Over the trailing year, the stock is underperforming the S&P 500 by 13.41, and it’s gotten there by action that has been less volatile on a day-to-day basis than most other stocks on the exchange. In terms of the mechanics underlying that movement, traders will want to note that the stock is trading on a float of 16.15% with $136.55 Million sitting short, betting on future declines. That suggests something of the likelihood of a short squeeze in shares of UPL.

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