The Case for and Against Mattel, Inc. (MAT)

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) is an interesting player in the Consumer Goods space, with a focus on Toys & Games. The stock has been active on the tape, currently trading at $14.47, down from yesterday’s close by -3.47%. Given the stock’s recent action, it seemed like a good time to take a closer look at the company’s recent data.

Fundamental Analysis

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) currently trades with a market capitalization of $5.36 Billion. That value represents a market adjusting for revenues that have been falling by -12.19 % on a quarterly year/year basis as of the company’s last quarterly report.

You can get a sense of how sustainable that is by a levered free cash flow of -$975.39 Million over the past twelve months. Generally speaking, earnings are expected to grow in coming quarters. Analysts are forecasting earnings of -$0.37 on a per share basis this quarter. Perhaps, that suggests something about why 0.91% of the outstanding share supply is held by institutional investors.

Technical Analysis

It’s important to check the technicals to get a sense of how MAT has been acting. Looking at the stock’s movement on the chart, Mattel, Inc. recorded a 52-week high of $25.97. It is now trading 11.5% off that level. The stock is trading $16.14 its 50-day moving average by 1.67%. The stock carved out a 52-week low down at $12.71.

In recent action, Mattel, Inc. (MAT) has made a move of -16.65% over the past month, which has come on weak relative transaction volume. Over the trailing year, the stock is underperforming the S&P 500 by 16.68, and it’s gotten there by action that has been less volatile on a day-to-day basis than most other stocks on the exchange. In terms of the mechanics underlying that movement, traders will want to note that the stock is trading on a float of 16.66% with $342.69 Million sitting short, betting on future declines. That suggests something of the likelihood of a short squeeze in shares of MAT.

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